What methods reveal 5–10 year geopolitical trends for critical minerals investments?

[OliviaHM]

I'm an analyst at a risk consultancy, and I'm trying to improve my firm's framework for assessing how medium-term geopolitical shifts, particularly around critical mineral supply chains and regional security alliances, will impact our clients' long-term infrastructure investments in emerging markets. The standard models feel too reactive. For other professionals in strategic forecasting, what methodologies or data sources do you find most valuable for moving beyond headline-driven analysis to identify the underlying structural trends and potential inflection points that could reshape a region's investment landscape over a five to ten year horizon? I need to provide actionable insight, not just commentary.