12-24-2025, 04:31 AM
I've been a long-term holder of Bitcoin since 2019, but with the recent volatility following the latest halving event, I'm trying to become more active in managing a portion of my portfolio through swing trading. I'm comfortable with on-chain metrics like exchange flows and the MVRV ratio, but I struggle to integrate them effectively with traditional technical analysis on the daily and weekly charts. For traders who focus on Bitcoin price analysis, what framework do you use to weigh on-chain fundamentals against technical indicators like moving averages or Bollinger Bands during different market regimes? How do you adjust your timeframe and risk management when the asset is driven by macro news versus its own cyclical patterns, and are there any specific resources or analysts you follow who provide a balanced view that isn't purely bullish or bearish?